Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.029677 0.034267 0.039345 0.045381 0.052367 0.060201 0.069662
2026-02-08 0.022234 0.028203 0.035459 0.044941 0.057026 0.071944 0.091804
2026-02-15 0.017791 0.024237 0.032656 0.044482 0.060713 0.082279 0.113237
2026-02-22 0.015182 0.021927 0.031268 0.045190 0.065500 0.094180 0.137998
2026-03-01 0.013010 0.019753 0.029573 0.044974 0.068653 0.103892 0.160719
2026-03-08 0.011094 0.017603 0.027512 0.043773 0.069963 0.110800 0.179901
2026-03-15 0.009551 0.015771 0.025629 0.042480 0.070795 0.116860 0.198303
2026-03-22 0.008680 0.014875 0.025067 0.043170 0.074815 0.128385 0.227079
2026-03-29 0.007864 0.013949 0.024315 0.043393 0.077994 0.138781 0.255168
2026-04-05 0.007145 0.013091 0.023554 0.043466 0.080855 0.148874 0.283933
2026-04-12 0.006586 0.012441 0.023070 0.043951 0.084474 0.160692 0.317377
2026-04-19 0.006170 0.012003 0.022908 0.044994 0.089235 0.175152 0.357773
2026-04-26 0.005492 0.010990 0.021570 0.043639 0.089227 0.180555 0.381096
2026-05-03 0.005012 0.010313 0.020802 0.043326 0.091279 0.190328 0.414900
2026-05-10 0.004578 0.009674 0.020033 0.042906 0.093039 0.199681 0.449056
2026-05-17 0.004299 0.009322 0.019806 0.043593 0.097232 0.214667 0.497728
2026-05-24 0.003968 0.008821 0.019206 0.043386 0.099411 0.225499 0.538358
2026-05-31 0.003596 0.008182 0.018235 0.042228 0.099275 0.231084 0.567336
2026-06-07 0.003256 0.007581 0.017278 0.040982 0.098771 0.235736 0.594658
2026-06-14 0.003087 0.007352 0.017140 0.041647 0.102917 0.251899 0.653039
2026-06-21 0.002902 0.007065 0.016832 0.041862 0.105977 0.265794 0.707547
2026-06-28 0.002724 0.006774 0.016484 0.041932 0.108682 0.279129 0.762472
2026-07-05 0.002584 0.006561 0.016300 0.042399 0.112468 0.295695 0.828566